Mercedes-Benz CEO Ola Källenius is the eternal optimist, and for good reason. He has long pushed the European Union to roll back its lofty goal of phasing out new internal combustion engine cars, arguing that weakening the rules was a return to pragmatism and not capitulation to opponents of Europe’s green agenda.
His push is working. The rigid deadlines for phasing out combustion engines after 2035 are “no longer feasible,” Källenius told The Verge in a recent interview, given infrastructure bottlenecks and the sluggish adoption of EVs by consumers. More flexibility was needed to protect jobs and competitiveness, give consumers greater choice, and ensure manufacturers can finance the transition profitably.
“This is not a retreat,” he said in defense of loosening the 2035 deadline. “It is an upgrade to a smarter strategy that matches Europe’s ambitions with a thoughtful plan for success.”
“This is not a retreat.”
When the economy was humming and jobs were plentiful, Europeans largely backed an ambitious climate agenda. Now, with the economy limping and automakers and suppliers slashing tens of thousands of jobs, support has shifted toward slowing down the transition.
Källenius said that carmakers had proved their commitment to fighting global warming with a decade of huge investments in new technology, electric vehicles, and battery plants.
“Taking a more pragmatic approach could be a way of delivering on Europe’s climate goals more effectively,” he said. “The ultimate target of achieving CO2 neutrality in the EU by 2050 remains firmly in place. What changes is the path to get there.”
Cars from the vehicle manufacturer Mercedes-Benz are parked in front of a car dealership. Image: Getty
Reopening the ICE car ban
For now, it is still European law to ban the sale of new cars with internal combustion engines after 2035. To change that, the EU has to either repeal the law or to amend it and create exceptions that would allow the sale of conventional cars to continue beyond the deadline.
At their October summit, European leaders called on the Commission, the bloc’s executive body, to reopen the ICE car ban and present proposals by the end of the year to slow Europe’s once brisk march to a carbon-free future.
The Commission has said it is considering allowing more “technology neutrality,” which analysts say means possibly allowing plug-in hybrids and ICE cars that run on synthetic fuels or biofuels, which produce fewer emissions than conventional fuel. The auto industry has been demanding such a change for years, and wants the Commission to count hybrids and cars that run on synthetic fuels among zero-emission vehicles, even if they have an internal combustion engine beyond the 2035 deadline.
“Turning the EU’s most important automotive regulation into a Swiss cheese will not restore the industry’s competitiveness,” said Lucien Mathieu, cars director at the Brussels-based lobby group Transport & Environment, in a statement in October. “It is a cynical attempt to dismantle a central pillar of Europe’s climate law. If the Commission capitulates to these demands, it will only hand a further competitive advantage to Chinese automakers.”
“Turning the EU’s most important automotive regulation into a Swiss cheese will not restore the industry’s competitiveness.”
Källenius noted that even after 2035 there would still be more than 200 million conventional cars on the road. Without alternative fuels and new ICE cars to replace them they would age, risking “a ‘Havana effect’ that would cause our vehicle fleet to grow even older, harming both the climate and the economy.”
Germany is lobbying to weaken the ban and create a longer transition period. The German economy is barely growing after two years of recession. The auto industry’s troubles go back a lot further. Auto production in Germany peaked in 1998, but fell 25 percent in the wake of covid in 2020, and has declined every year since. And now German automakers face new competition from lower-cost Chinese vehicles.
The country’s political leaders are alarmed because of the nearly 800,000 jobs that the industry provides and because economic uncertainty is fueling a rise of support for right-wing populism. Against this backdrop, the government is throwing its weight behind industry demands to roll back climate goals and throw core gas-powered cars a lifeline.
“There will be no hard cut” in 2035, German Chancellor Friedrich Merz pledged after a meeting with auto industry leaders in September.
A Volkswagen e-up! electric car charges at a public fast-charging station in Hanover. Image: Getty
Alternative fuels and hybrids
Slowing the shift to electric vehicles aims to give carmakers and suppliers more time to keep earning money from their most profitable models and maintain their competitive edge over rivals, including the new Chinese manufacturers that are fast making inroads into European markets.
There is a danger that slowing the transition to EVs could put the huge investments that have been made in EV charging networks and battery plants at risk, which could also lead to job losses.
“If tomorrow we abandon the 2035 objective, forget European battery factories,” French President Emmanuel Macron told reporters after the October leaders’ summit, pointing to the gigafactories now being built across the continent as a direct result of the 2035 deadline. Instead, he backed loosening the language of the law to allow alternative fuels and hybrids.
“There will be no hard cut” in 2035.
Allowing automakers to keep selling conventional cars as hybrids or with low-emission fuels is just one part of a compromise. To boost sales of economy EVs, Europeans are also working on incentives for new battery electric vehicle purchases. Manufacturers could be required to use more European-made components to be eligible for EV subsidies as a way to support jobs and push back against cheap Chinese imports.
As politicians discuss how to help automakers, the situation for the industry is increasingly dire.
The only growth in Europe’s automotive markets this year is coming from electric vehicles and hybrids, from which many automakers still struggle to earn any money because of the high costs of developing new technologies, manufacturing in Europe, and the still meager sales volumes of EVs.
Europeans bought 1.3 million battery-electric vehicles in the nine months through September, accounting for about 16 percent of total new car sales, according to ACEA, the continent’s auto lobby. But even the strong performance of electric and hybrid vehicles could not offset the steep decline of ICE cars. Overall, Europe’s new car sales grew just 0.9 percent in the first nine months.
The Polestar showroom in Stockholm, Sweden. Image: Bloomberg via Getty Images
‘We’re asking for a different regime’
For some automakers, the changes that are under discussion don’t go far enough.
BMW CEO Oliver Zipse told reporters in an earnings call that under the EU’s current law, manufacturers get no benefit from their investments in carbon-neutral components such as green steel or for building new, low-emission factories. He slammed the EU’s focus on regulating tailpipe emissions instead of the car’s total carbon footprint.
“We are not asking for the targets to be weakened. We’re asking for a different regime,” Zipse said. “We are continually reducing our CO2 footprint but it has no impact.”
Some green tech lobby groups and think tanks warn against boosting support for plug-in hybrids at the expense of full EVs.
Brussels-based Transport & Environment (T&E), a green tech lobby group, concluded in a recent study that plug-in hybrids emit nearly five times more CO2 in real world driving than shown in official tests. And even when running in electric mode, PHEVs burn more fuel than manufacturers claim because their combustion engines kick in when accelerating or driving uphill, the study concludes.
“We are continually reducing our CO2 footprint but it has no impact.”
The gap hits drivers’ wallets, too: Annual fuel and charging costs are about €500 higher than advertised. With an average sticker price of €55,700 in 2025, plug-in hybrids are also €15,200 more expensive than battery-electrics.
“Plug-in hybrids are one of the biggest cons in automotive history,” said T&E’s Mathieu.
Peter Mock, Europe managing director of the International Council on Clean Transportation, rejected the notion that plug-in hybrids are a “bridge” to electrification. He said evidence shows most drivers who switch to battery-electrics stay with them, while a large share of plug-in hybrid buyers later revert to combustion cars.
Mock pointed to Denmark, where battery-electrics account for about 70 percent of new sales, and Belgium at around 40 percent, as examples of how to accelerate adoption. The key, he said, is a mix of EU CO2 standards and national tax policies that make combustion cars more expensive while lowering costs for EVs — ideally in a self-balancing system where higher ICE taxes fund EV subsidies.
On e-fuels, Mock was blunt: They are too inefficient and costly for cars and trucks. “For road transport, electrification is by far the better option,” he said. “E-fuels are a distraction.”
A sign for a charging point for electric cars is displayed in Bristol, England. Image: Getty Images
‘The rest of the world will not stand still’
The EU’s climate policies of the past decade have attracted a lot of investment from pure EV manufacturers, battery manufacturers, and other suppliers along the EV supply chain. That’s why more than 200 business leaders from the industry wrote an open letter calling on the Commission to “Stand firm, don’t step back” in the face of legacy automaker lobbying.
Michael Lohscheller, CEO of Polestar, told The Verge that watering down the 2035 ban would punish companies that have already staked their future on electrification. “It undermines the basis for the investments that companies like us have made,” he said, noting that years of negotiation went into the current framework, including with legacy carmakers now seeking to backtrack.
While a delay might make EV demand less linear, Lohscheller said, “the shift will still happen and is happening, as we see in demand for our cars across most European markets.”
“Stand firm, don’t step back”
He also warned that Europe risks falling behind global competitors if it weakens its climate goals. “We would become even less competitive in the future. The rest of the world will not stand still: they will continue to develop new, better technologies, which would put even more future EU jobs in jeopardy.”
Others agree. Lawrence Hamilton, president of Lucid Motors Europe, said that reopening the debate over the EU’s 2035 combustion car ban risks confusing consumers and slowing electric vehicle adoption. “It remains a distraction in the conversation with the consumers,” he said. “If the ICE ban is rolled back, everybody believes they’ve got longer, and consumer adoption tends to be ‘not now.’ But we want people to be thinking about making the transition to EV now.”
Hamilton stressed that car replacement cycles are long — often seven years or more — which means the industry needs customers to start switching today, not years down the road. He pointed out that EVs are approaching price parity with gas cars, already deliver lower total cost of ownership in many cases, and have largely overcome concerns about range.
If Europe’s automakers want to regain competitiveness — especially against China — the answer is not to slow the shift to electric, but to double down on it and tackle their own structural weaknesses.
“They must close the battery cost gap, pivot to software and AI-driven manufacturing, and rediscover the entrepreneurial urgency their Chinese rivals live by,” said Andy Palmer, who played a key role in driving electric vehicle technology at Nissan and later was CEO of Aston Martin. “Europe still has immense engineering talent, but it’s held back by bureaucracy and legacy thinking. They need to catch up. And fast.”
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Kody Brown Still Has Women Asking to Join His Family
Should Kody still be interested in having his love multiplied, there’s no shortage of options.
As he revealed to Robyn on the Nov. 2 episode, “I got another one of those emails from some woman talking about plural marriage.”
The unnamed person was “kind of chastising me for deciding to quit plural marriage,” he explained to his sole remaining bride. And then she offered up her services. “She’s calling me out,” Kody explained to Robyn, “and then asking sort of like to get to know us for the purpose of joining the family.”
Truthfully, it wasn’t an immediate no from Robyn, who admitted in a confessional, “For a split second, I think, ‘Oh, wouldn’t this be great? This is what I’ve always wanted for my life.’ And, ‘Hmm, would they fit.'”
Ultimately, though, it was a no.
“I find it very inappropriate that they would send it to Kody,” she explained of her issue with the outreach. “It’s not usually proper to go hitting on a guy. You have to go through the sister wives.”
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Mike Locksley will remain in place as Maryland‘s football coach in 2026, and the school plans to significantly increase financial support for the program, athletic director Jim Smith told ESPN.
Locksley is in his eighth season with the Terps (4-6), who have lost six straight games. Maryland went 4-8 last season after winning bowl games in three consecutive seasons, which marked the longest such streak in program history.
Smith told ESPN that prioritizing retaining key players, including a star-studded freshman class, is a big part of the strategy. Smith also said Maryland needs to catch up financially to be competitive with the top teams in the Big Ten.
“We are working to strengthen our NIL support for 2026 and beyond and have already seen success for next year,” Smith told ESPN. “We are prioritizing roster retention, recruiting and competing in the transfer portal.”
Locksley is 37-47 in his eight seasons at Maryland. He went 1-8 in league play last season and is 1-6 this year. It would have cost more than $13 million to fire Locksley, according to his contract.
Along with the impressive run of bowl wins, Locksley has compiled a strong young nucleus on this team. That includes promising freshman quarterback Malik Washington (13 passing TDs, 4 rushing) and two productive freshman defensive ends Sidney Stewart (8.5 TFLs) and Zahir Mathis (7.0 TFLs).
Those players were a key part of a 2025 recruiting class that included seven ESPN 300 commits and was ranked No. 24 in the country by ESPN.
“We are optimistic about the young talent in our program and where we are in recruiting,” Smith told ESPN.
Smith said the available NIL money for Maryland will be significantly more than Locksley had to work with in 2025.
“Everyone involved with the football program is focused on giving Coach Locksley the resources to succeed in the Big Ten,” Smith said.
Maryland’s decision comes soon after Wisconsin made a similar announcement about coach Luke Fickell, whose team is struggling through a second straight losing season.
Maryland started the year 4-0, including a dominating 27-10 win at Wisconsin to open the Big Ten schedule. From there, the Terrapins lost three consecutive one-score games, including squandering a 20-0 third-quarter lead against Washington. Maryland lost to Indiana, Rutgers and Illinois in its past three games.
Maryland plays seven home games in 2026, including five Big Ten games at home and a nonconference schedule of Hampton and Virginia Tech at home and UConn on the road.
According to the Financial Times, Tim Cook could step down as Apple CEO as early as next year. And the board has started to seriously work out a succession plan. FT says that John Ternus, Apple’s senior vice-president of hardware engineering, is considered the frontrunner for the position.
Rumors of Cook’s stepping down follow the retirement of Apple COO Jeff Williams, whose last day at the company was Friday. As part of that departure, there has been some shuffling of responsibilities at the executive level, including expanded roles for Services chief Eddy Cue, head of software engineering Craig Federighi, and Ternus.
Regardless of who winds up taking over as CEO, it’s unlikely to be someone from outside Apple. Tim Cook has previously said there is a strong preference for an internal candidate and that the company has “very detailed succession plans.”
“I reached out to him after I was on Special Forces,” Teresa told E! News’ Erin Lim Rhodes in an exclusive interview Nov. 15 at BravoCon 2025 at Caesars Palace in Las Vegas. “She wanted me to let go of the past with her dad. As a mom, we have to be good role models for our children and I’m always a mom first.”
For the reality star—who also shares daughters Gabriella Guidice, 21, Milania Guidice, 19, and Audriana Guidice, 16, with ex-husband Joe Giudice—her mind began to wander to other strained relationships in her life.
“When I thought about my husband and letting the past go, I thought about my brother,” she explained. “I want my brother back in my life. I came home and then I reached out to him. As soon as I reached out to him, he, of course, responded.”
Saturday started with what looked like a massive upset of No. 3 Texas A&M. South Carolina led 30-3 at halftime, but then the Aggies woke up. After a 21-point third quarter, A&M didn’t take its first lead until the fourth quarter, when it went up 31-30. To pull off the largest comeback in school history, QB Marcel Reed threw for 439 yards and three touchdowns. The Aggies should keep their spot in the top four.
No. 4 Alabama entered Saturday alongside Texas A&M as the only undefeated teams in conference play. But Oklahoma came to Tuscaloosa, got the win and threw the SEC race into a mess. The Sooners had just 212 yards of offense, their fewest in a win since 2001, but forced three turnovers. OU scored 10 points off turnovers and became the first team to beat Bama in consecutive years since Ole Miss in 2014-15.
At the top of the Big Ten and CFP rankings, Ohio State and Indiana cruised in their respective Week 12 games. The top two teams in the rankings outscored their opponents by a combined 79-17. Both the Buckeyes and Hoosiers will have bye weeks in Week 13 before facing their traditional rivals to end the regular season.
Here are our experts’ top 12 College Football Playoff picks:
Andrea Adelson: 1. Ohio State 2. Indiana 3. Texas A&M 4. Texas Tech 5. Georgia 6. Oregon 7. Ole Miss 8. Oklahoma 9. Alabama 10. Notre Dame 11. Virginia 12. North Texas
Kyle Bonagura: 1. Ohio State 2. Indiana 3. Texas A&M 4. Georgia 5. Texas Tech 6. Oregon 7. Ole Miss 8. Oklahoma 9. Alabama 10. Notre Dame 11. Virginia 12. North Texas
Bill Connelly: 1. Ohio State 2. Indiana 3. Texas A&M 4. Texas Tech 5. Georgia 6. Oregon 7. Ole Miss 8. Oklahoma 9. Notre Dame 10. Alabama 11. Georgia Tech 12. North Texas
David Hale: 1. Ohio State 2. Indiana 3. Texas A&M 4. Georgia 5. Texas Tech 6. Ole Miss 7. Oklahoma 8. Miami 9. Alabama 10. Notre Dame 11. Oregon 12. James Madison
Eli Lederman: 1. Ohio State 2. Indiana 3. Texas A&M 4. Georgia 5. Texas Tech 6. Oregon 7. Ole Miss 8. Oklahoma 9. Alabama 10. Notre Dame 11. Georgia Tech 12. North Texas
Max Olson: 1. Ohio State 2. Indiana 3. Texas A&M 4. Georgia 5. Texas Tech 6. Ole Miss 7. Oregon 8. Oklahoma 9. Alabama 10. Notre Dame 11. Georgia Tech 12. North Texas
Adam Rittenberg: 1. Ohio State 2. Indiana 3. Texas A&M 4. Georgia 5. Texas Tech 6. Oregon 7. Ole Miss 8. Oklahoma 9. Alabama 10. Notre Dame 11. Virginia 12. North Texas
Mark Schlabach: 1. Ohio State 2. Indiana 3. Texas A&M 4. Georgia 5. Texas Tech 6. Oregon 7. Ole Miss 8. Oklahoma 9. Notre Dame 10. Alabama 11. Virginia 12. North Texas
Jake Trotter: 1. Ohio State 2. Indiana 3. Texas A&M 4. Georgia 5. Texas Tech 6. Oregon 7. Ole Miss 8. Oklahoma 9. Notre Dame 10. Alabama 11. Georgia Tech 12. North Texas
Paolo Uggetti: 1. Ohio State 2. Indiana 3. Texas A&M 4. Georgia 5. Texas Tech 6. Oregon 7. Ole Miss 8. Oklahoma 9. Notre Dame 10. Alabama 11. Virginia 12. James Madison
Dave Wilson: 1. Ohio State 2. Indiana 3. Texas A&M 4. Georgia 5. Texas Tech 6. Oregon 7. Ole Miss 8. Oklahoma 9. Notre Dame 10. Alabama 11. Georgia Tech 12. North Texas
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Mike Clay is a senior writer for fantasy football and the NFL at ESPN. Mike is a member of the FSWA Hall of Fame. His projections power the ESPN Fantasy Football game, and he also appears on “Fantasy Football Now” and the Fantasy Focus Football podcast.
Welcome to The Playbook for Week 11, which kicks off Thursday with the Jets at the Patriots.
This column features score projections, over/unders, win probabilities, and, of course, easily digestible fantasy advice for seasonlong leagues and DFS. This guide should help you with all sorts of decision-making, including sit/start, last-minute waiver adds and lineup choices.
Additionally, we have folded the Shadow Reports, previously a separate column, into the game-by-game breakdowns here. Using our play-by-play data, we’re able to identify defensive schemes and where each wide receiver and cornerback lines up on each play. By tracking these WR/CB matchups, including potential shadow situations, we can offer the best projections, rankings, sit/start advice and waiver wire suggestions each week.
All of this advice is centered on 12-team PPR leagues with relatively standard scoring and lineup settings (1 QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, 1 flex, 1 K, 1 D/ST), although I’ll often mention “shallow” or “deep” leagues for some starters. The charts show all players who have been projected for at least 6.0 fantasy points this week, as well as all D/STs. “Matchup” is automatically determined using a proprietary metric that factors in raw and volume-adjusted fantasy points allowed to each position by the opposing defense this season.
(Editor’s note: Projections and rankings will align almost perfectly, but sometimes when a projection is close, a player might be ranked slightly higher or lower because of other factors, including upside or risk. This column is subject to updates during the weekend, although at the very minimum, rankings will be updated on the site and projections will always be updated inside the game leading up to kickoff.)
Fantasy scoop: You’d be hard-pressed to bench Hall, but he has massive bust potential this week against perhaps the league’s best run defense. New England has allowed the fewest rushing yards and lowest yards per carry (3.3), as well as the second-fewest scrimmage yards and touchdowns (three) to RBs this season. No running back has reached 50 rushing yards against the Patriots in any game.
The potential saving grace here is the passing game, as New England has surrendered the most RB receptions, allowing 17-plus fantasy points efforts to Bijan Robinson and De’Von Achane. Hall, who ranks seventh among RBs in receiving yards, should be viewed as a midrange RB2 this week.
Fantasy scoop:Chris Rodriguez Jr. left Sunday’s game in the third quarter due to a shoulder injury, but it’s worth noting that he had seemingly replaced Jacory Croskey-Merritt as the team’s lead back prior to his departure. Rodriguez started and played seven of nine snaps before Croskey-Merritt even saw the field. Rodriguez went on to play 17 of 25 first-half snaps, although Croskey-Merritt did play eight straight snaps to open the second half before Rodriguez saw the field. Rodriguez went down on his first snap of the second half, and Croskey-Merritt went on to play 10 snaps, compared to nine for Jeremy McNichols. The trio combined for 14.5 fantasy points and none cleared 30 yards.
The good news is that Week 11 presents a good matchup (Miami has allowed the fourth-most yards, eighth-most fantasy points and 4.9 yards per carry to RBs), but the bad news is that this is a three-headed committee in a struggling, Jayden Daniels-less offense. This is a situation best avoided, but if Rodriguez is sidelined, Croskey-Merritt (under 6.0 fantasy points in six straight) will have some deep-league flex appeal.
Shadow Report: Upgrade Miami’s receivers against a struggling and injury-riddled Washington secondary that includes Jonathan Jones and Noah Igbinoghene on the boundary and Mike Sainristil in the slot. Washington has surrendered the third-most fantasy points to receivers this season and has the worst EPA against the pass over the past four weeks. The Commanders sit top five in yards (1,779), touchdowns (13), yards per target (9.8) and catch rate (69%) allowed to receivers. Waddle is the main benefactor here, but Malik Washington has some sleeper flex appeal.
Fantasy scoop: McMillan has enjoyed a 38% target share over the past three weeks, which trails only Jaxon Smith-Njigba (42%) for highest in the NFL. The boost in usage is nice, though it hasn’t led to a ton of fantasy points (36.5, to be exact) in Carolina’s run-heavy offense. On the season, McMillan sits seventh among receivers in targets (80), but he’s just outside the top 12 in catches (46) and yards (618). He’s found the end zone only twice (both in Week 6), which has him 22nd among wide receivers in fantasy points (30th PPG).
Perhaps McMillan’s bad TD luck will turn (his xTD is 4.2), but in the meantime, his usage is just enough to keep him in the weekly WR3 mix. That includes this week against an Atlanta defense that has allowed the second-fewest catches to receivers this season and that held McMillan to 48 yards in Week 3.
Fantasy scoop:Cade Otton posted a career-high 12 targets and season highs in catches (nine), yardage (82) and fantasy points (17.2) last Sunday. After averaging 2.8 targets and 2.4 fantasy points per game during the first four games of the season, Otton is averaging 7.4 targets and 12.2 points per game over his past five outings. The leap has, of course, coincided with Mike Evans, Chris Godwin Jr. and Bucky Irving missing time with injury, which is similar to the huge leap he made while Evans and Godwin were sidelined in 2024. Tampa Bay’s offense hasn’t been quite as good as it was last season, however, and Otton’s Week 10 performance marked his first top-10 fantasy outing of the season.
With Godwin and Evans still sidelined, Otton is on the TE1 radar, but he’s not an ideal Week 11 start against a Bills defense that has allowed the fewest targets, catches, yards and fantasy points to tight ends. Travis Kelce (12.6) is the lone tight end who has reached 8.0 fantasy points against them this season.
Shadow Report: If Christian Benford returns from injury this week, he’ll be a candidate to shadow Egbuka. If he remains out, rookie Maxwell Hairston figures to travel with Egbuka. Benford has traveled with Garrett Wilson (9.0 fantasy points in the game), Tyreek Hill (15.9), Chris Olave (11.0), Drake London (31.8), Tetairoa McMillan (16.9) and Travis Kelce (10.6) on their perimeter routes this season, and Hairston stepped in for Benford and shadowed Jaylen Waddle (17.7) last week. The six aforementioned shadowed wide receivers averaged 17.1 fantasy points, with four of them reaching 15.9. We don’t need to be worried about this matchup, so Egbuka remains a fringe WR1.
Fantasy scoop: A large early-game deficit certainly helped his cause, but Woody Marks is fresh off a Week 10 effort in which he played a career-high 78% of the Texans’ offensive snaps. Marks posted a strong 14-63-1 rushing line and added 18 yards on a pair of catches. The rookie has now scored 15-plus fantasy points in three of his past six games, though he’s also posted a pair of sub-3.0-point duds during the span (including in Week 9).
The good news is that Marks has a terrific Week 11 matchup against the same defense that allowed him career highs in touches (21), yards (119), TDs (two) and fantasy points (27.9) back in Week 4. Marks may defer more work to Nick Chubb this week, but he’s the current lead back in Houston and can be considered an RB2 option against a defense that has allowed a league-high 14 touchdowns to RBs.
Shadow Report: Upgrade Houston’s wide receivers against Tennessee’s patchwork cornerback room. With top corner L’Jarius Sneed still on IR and Roger McCreary traded to the Rams, Jalyn Armour-Davis and Darrell Baker Jr. are manning the perimeter, with Marcus Harris in the slot. The Titans have allowed the sixth-most yards and ninth-most fantasy points, as well as the highest catch rate (73%) and fourth-highest yards per target (9.5) to receivers this season. Collins, Christian Kirk and ascending Jayden Higgins stand to benefit.
Shadow Report: Downgrade Tennessee’s wide receivers against Houston’s dominant pass defense. The Texans have allowed the fifth-fewest catches, touchdowns (five) and fantasy points (third-fewest points to the perimeter) to the position. Only three receivers have reached 13 fantasy points against them (and one was thanks, in part, to a return touchdown). Note that, while Derek Stingley Jr. didn’t shadow Calvin Ridley when these teams met in Week 4, he still covered him on half his routes and Ridley was held to 5.0 fantasy points while playing a limited role. In fact, Titans receivers totaled 13.0 fantasy points in the game. Tennessee’s pass game is best avoided most weeks, but especially here in Week 11.
Fantasy scoop:J.J. McCarthy was finally asked to throw the ball around a bit last week (career-high 42 pass attempts after not clearing 25 during his first three games), which led to a career-high 248 yards (he was under 160 in the first three outings). McCarthy’s efficiency wasn’t great and he’s averaging 6.4 yards per pass attempt while completing an ugly 54% of his passes this season.
McCarthy guided Jalen Nailor to a career day (5-124-1) on Sunday, but no other Viking reached 40 receiving yards. In fact, Nailor joins Jefferson (81 yards in Week 2) as the only Vikings who have reached 50 receiving yards in a game with McCarthy this season. Jefferson (12.6 fantasy PPG in four games), T.J. Hockenson (4.7 PPG in four games) and Addison (7.5 in two games) have been severely hampered with McCarthy under center, though perhaps there’s some reason for hope this week against a Chicago defense that has allowed 20 passing TDs (third most) this season. Speaking of which …
Shadow Report: We’re upgrading the aforementioned Minnesota receivers against a Chicago defense that is still without top corners Jaylon Johnson and Kyler Gordon. Tyrique Stevenson and Nahshon Wright have been working as the boundary corners, with Chauncey Gardner-Johnson recently joining the team and taking over as the primary slot. The Bears have surrendered the fifth-most fantasy points, second-most TDs (13) and the third-highest yards per target (9.7) to receivers. Jefferson, Addison and deep sleeper Nailor (fresh off a big game) get a boost, though Jefferson is the lone lineup lock.
Fantasy scoop:Theo Johnson is fresh off a strong Week 10 outing in which he posted career-high marks in targets (eight), receptions (seven) and yardage (75). The second-year tight end is up to 12th among tight ends in fantasy points and he has now delivered a top-12 finish in two straight and three of his past four. After averaging 3.0 targets and 3.6 fantasy points in three games with Russell Wilson at quarterback and Malik Nabers fully healthy, Johnson averaged 6.0 targets and 11.9 points per game in seven outings with Jaxson Dart under center and Nabers sidelined.
Johnson has struggled to generate yardage (18th among TEs with 314) but has made up for it with solid usage near the goal line (five TDs and four end zone targets both rank top six at the position). Johnson is a bit over his skis in the TD department (2.8 xTD), but he’s seeing enough work to hang on the TE1 fringe moving forward. He’d be a stronger Week 11 streamer if Dart (concussion) was healthy, but he’s still on the TE1 radar with Jameis Winston under center.
Fantasy scoop: Week 11’s “streamer of the week'” is Aaron Rodgers. That might seem absurd considering Rodgers has posted consecutive duds, including a 6.4-point effort against the Chargers on Sunday, but this week’s matchup is too good to ignore. The Bengals sit top five in yards, TDs and fantasy points to QBs. After holding Joe Flacco to 12.2 points in Week 1, the Bengals have allowed eight consecutive QBs to reach 15 fantasy points (22.2 average), including a season-high 38.7 to Caleb Williams in their most recent game.
Rodgers hasn’t been a consistent fantasy option this season, but he has delivered in good matchups and that includes the four TDs and 22.6 points he scored when these teams played in Week 7. Rodgers is a fine streaming option against the defense allowing the highest EPA against the pass.
Shadow Report: Expect DJ Turner to shadow DK Metcalf this week, as he did when these teams met in Week 7. In that game, Turner lined up against Metcalf on 26 of his 33 routes, including 26 of 27 on the perimeter. Metcalf was limited to three catches for 50 yards on five targets (which started a streak of 8.0 or fewer fantasy points in three of his next four games spanning Weeks 7-10). Turner has been a bright spot on an otherwise horrendous Bengals defense, having allowed 8.2 fantasy PPG to the seven receivers he has shadowed.
Metcalf, meanwhile, is averaging 8.8 fantasy PPG during four games he was shadowed. He should, of course, be downgraded and has major bust potential. Note that Cincinnati has been extremely generous to players Turner hasn’t covered (worst defensive EPA), so all secondary skill players get a big boost this week.
Shadow Report: Upgrade the Cincinnati passing game against a Pittsburgh defense that has allowed the most fantasy points to wide receivers this season, including the sixth most to the perimeter and third most to the slot. The Steelers have surrendered the most targets, catches and yards to the position, and six receivers have reached 20 points against them. That includes Michael Pittman Jr. and Ladd McConkey over the past two weeks, as well as both Chase (38.1) and Higgins (21.6) when these teams met in Week 7.
Meyers, who was targeted three times, is a candidate for a larger workload as he learns the offense, but he can’t be trusted in fantasy lineups until he’s seeing more work. If Thomas is back this week, he’s a WR3, whereas Washington, who has scored 17-plus fantasy points in consecutive games, would be a deep-league flex option and Meyers would belong on benches. If Thomas remains out, Washington is a WR3 and Meyers a flex.
Shadow Report: Part of the reason we’re not too high on Jacksonville’s receivers is the tough matchup against a Chargers defense that has allowed the second-fewest fantasy points to receivers, including the fewest to the perimeter and fourth fewest to the slot. Los Angeles has allowed the third-fewest yards and TDs (five) to receivers, as well as the second-lowest catch rate (56%) and third-lowest yards per target (6.8).
Fantasy scoop:Rashid Shaheed made his Seattle debut on Sunday and played 18 of 59 snaps. The low usage was primarily a product of game script, as Seattle built a massive early lead and passed only 13 times in the game. Shaheed ran a route on eight of those plays, which trailed only Smith-Njigba (11) and Cooper Kupp (nine) for most on the team.
The good news is that Shaheed was immediately a primary piece of the passing game, but the bad news is the quick reminder that he’s joining an extremely low-volume pass attack (Sam Darnold is averaging 25.3 pass attempts per game, whereas the Saints averaged 35.0 per game during Weeks 1-9 while Shaheed was on the roster). Shaheed is a strong bet for a boost in volume in a better game script against the Rams this week, but he remains best valued as a boom/bust flex flier.
Fantasy scoop: One quarterback has finished top 12 in fantasy points in each of his past four games: Jacoby Brissett. The veteran passer has delivered exactly two passing TDs and 19-plus fantasy points in all four starts, while avoiding turnovers (one INT) and adding some value with his legs (80 yards and one TD during the stretch).
Brissett benefited greatly from garbage time during last week’s 22-point loss to Seattle, but he’s positioned with a good Week 11 matchup against a 49ers defense that has allowed the fourth-highest EPA against the pass. San Francisco has allowed 19 passing TDs (seventh most), while generating only 12 sacks (fewest) and one INT (second fewest). Both Jaxson Dart (27.2) and Matthew Stafford (26.9) have produced top-5 fantasy outings against the Niners over the past two weeks. The absence of Marvin Harrison Jr. is detrimental, but Brissett is still on the streaming radar this week.
Fantasy scoop:Jerry Jeudy entered the Browns’ Week 9 bye with zero TDs or games with more than 11.6 fantasy points. He now has one of each after delivering a 6-78-1 receiving line (all three are season highs) on 12 targets in Week 10. The strong showing is reason for some optimism, especially considering that he has now seen 12-plus targets in two of his past three games and his 21% target share on the season isn’t too far off his career-high 23% mark when he finished sixth in yards and 12th in fantasy points among WRs last season.
Jeudy’s big game was somewhat predictable against a Sauce Gardner-less Jets defense, but, by the numbers, the Browns have the easiest rest-of-season schedule for receivers. Jeudy is back on the WR3/flex radar this week against a Baltimore defense that slowed Justin Jefferson and Jordan Addison but allowed 23.4 points to Jalen Nailor in Week 10.
Fantasy scoop: Week 17 of the 2022 season. That’s the last time Mahomes reached 18.0 fantasy points in a game against the rival Broncos. Mahomes has faced Denver three times over the past two seasons and has a total of two TDs and three INTs in those games, averaging 13.2 fantasy PPG during the span. Of course, the Chiefs offense is the best it has been since prior to 2022, so while Mahomes isn’t the high-end lineup lock that he usually is, he remains a back-end starting option. Note that Denver has allowed the fewest passing TDs (eight) and the second-fewest fantasy points to QBs this season. Only three QBs have reached 15 fantasy points against the Broncos.
Shadow Report: Downgrade Denver’s wide receivers against a Chiefs defense that has allowed the second-fewest yards and sixth-fewest fantasy points to receivers this season, as well as the fewest points over the past eight weeks. Only three receivers have reached 15 fantasy points against the Chiefs this season. Sutton (held below 11 fantasy points in four of his past five), Franklin (has out-targeted Sutton in four straight and on the season), Pat Bryant and Marvin Mims Jr. will have their hands full against a Kansas City cornerback rotation headlined by Trent McDuffie and Jaylen Watson.
Fantasy scoop: Detroit seems to have unlocked Jameson Williams during its Week 8 bye. In his first seven games of the season, Williams put together two big games (18.8 and 18.6 points) but was held below 7.0 points in the other five. In two games since the bye, Williams has posted receiving lines of 4-66-1 and 6-119-1, which has allowed 16-plus fantasy points in both. Williams’ 18.8% target share during the two games is more aligned with his 18.5% mark from 2024 and a step up from his 15.4% share during Weeks 1-7.
Williams is far from out of the clear, of course, and he’s set up with a tough Week 11 matchup against an Eagles defense that has faced the sixth-most WR targets, but that has allowed only four TDs (second fewest) to the position. No receiver has reached 23.0 points against them in a game this season. Williams should see plenty of Quinyon Mitchell and is best viewed as a WR3/flex.
Fantasy scoop: In their first game after trading Jakobi Meyers, the Raiders’ WR usage was as follows: Tre Tucker had 33 routes and three targets, Tyler Lockett 26 routes and six targets, Dont’e Thornton Jr. 20 routes and two targets, Jack Bech seven routes and one target, and Alex Bachman two routes and zero targets. Granted they were dealing with a terrific Denver defense, but the group combined for 16.3 fantasy points, with none of the five reaching 45 yards or 10 points.
This is going to be a situation best avoided moving forward, though there’s some sleeper appeal this week against a Dallas defense that, while healthier and improved during the bye, has still allowed the most TDs (16) and second-most fantasy points to receivers this season. Tucker is the lone Raiders receiver worth considering for your flex.
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